Question 1: Short answer
easyAI-checkedProbabilistic & Graphical ModelsYou observe four weather sequences, each giving consecutive days (day 0, day 1, ...) in a different place:
- HOT → HOT → WARM → COLD → WARM
- HOT → WARM → WARM → WARM
- COLD → COLD → WARM → WARM → WARM → HOT
- WARM → HOT → WARM → WARM → WARM → HOT
By counting, estimate the probability that a day is HOT given that the day before was WARM: . Also estimate the probability that day 1 is HOT, across the four sequences: .
Fill in every blank (hints in the boxes). Enter moves to the next blank.