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ml-recall

#additive-smoothing

1 question from Probabilistic & Graphical Models

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Question 1: Short answer

mediumAI-checkedProbabilistic & Graphical Models

A DAG over binary variables has t→s←bt \to s \leftarrow b and t→xt \to x. Among ten iid fully observed records, exactly three have t=0,b=0t = 0, b = 0, and all three of them have s=0s = 0. Each entry of the table p(s=1∣t,b)p(s = 1 \mid t, b) gets an independent uniform prior on (0,1)(0, 1). What is the posterior mean of p(s=1∣t=0,b=0)p(s = 1 \mid t = 0, b = 0)?

a probability, 1 decimal (a fraction like 1/3 also works)